New results every Friday
March Capitol Pulse Results: Congress Backs Iran Strikes, Favors Democratic House Control, and Predicts a Republican Senate
March’s Capitol Pulse results show Congress supporting U.S. military strikes in Iran, overwhelmingly rejecting skyscraper development in Washington, and backing President Trump’s decision to replace Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary. Looking ahead to November, the results favor Democrats to win the House and Republicans to retain the Senate, while Congress remains divided over how long the war in Iran will continue.
Congress Backs U.S. Military Strikes in Iran
48.59% of Congress supports the U.S. military strikes in Iran , compared with 38.06% opposed and 8.78% unsure.
The partisan divide is significant. 69.33% of Republicans support the strikes , compared with 16.67% of Democrats . Among Democrats, 77.78% oppose the strikes, compared with 18.67% of Republicans.
The results put the parties on opposite sides of the question of U.S. military action in Iran.
Congress Overwhelmingly Rejects D.C. Skyscraper Development
Congress strongly rejects allowing skyscraper development in Washington, with 87.00% opposed and 13.00% in favor .
The opposition is high in both parties. 89.19% of Democrats oppose skyscraper development , compared with 84.81% of Republicans. Support reaches 15.19% among Republicans and 10.81% among Democrats.
Unlike several of March’s foreign-policy questions, the skyscraper question produces relatively little partisan separation.
Congress Backs Trump’s Decision to Replace Kristi Noem
94.76% of Congress says replacing Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary was the right move by President Trump , while 5.24% say it was not.
Support is high across both parties. 92.65% of Republicans say the replacement was the right move , compared with 96.88% of Democrats .
The result stands out as one of March’s strongest areas of bipartisan agreement, with more than nine in ten respondents in both parties supporting the decision.
Congress Gives Democrats the Edge in the House
76.56% of Congress expects Democrats to win the House in November , compared with 23.44% who expect Republicans to win.
The partisan split is notably narrower than the overall result might suggest. 53.12% of Republicans expect Republicans to win the House, while 46.88% expect Democrats to win. Among Democrats, 100% expect Democrats to win the House .
The House forecast therefore shows Democrats united behind a Democratic victory, while Republicans are nearly evenly divided over which party will control the chamber.
Congress Predicts a Republican Senate
The Senate forecast runs in the opposite direction. 57.46% of Congress expects Republicans to win the Senate in November , compared with 42.54% who expect Democrats to win.
Republicans are strongly aligned behind a Republican Senate majority, with 85.29% expecting Republicans to win . Democrats are more divided, with 70.37% expecting Democrats to win and 29.63% expecting Republicans to win .
The March results therefore produce a split congressional forecast: Democrats lead the House outlook, while Republicans lead the Senate outlook .
Congress Is Split on How Long the Iran War Will Continue
Congress is divided over the expected length of the war in Iran. 37.03% expect the war to continue for a few months , 34.57% for a few weeks, and 28.40% for more than six months.
The parties have different expectations. 41.07% of Republicans expect the war to last a few weeks, compared with 15.79% of Democrats. Democrats are more likely to expect a longer conflict: 47.37% expect the war to continue for more than six months , compared with 23.21% of Republicans.
The result yields one of March’s clearest partisan differences on Iran, with Republicans more likely to choose the shorter timeline and Democrats more likely to choose the longest option.