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June Capitol Pulse Results: Congress Backs Ukraine’s EU Bid, Picks Talarico in Texas, and Favors Republicans in the Baseball Game
June’s Capitol Pulse results show Congress narrowly backing Ukraine’s admission to the European Union, picking Democrat James Talarico over Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, and predicting a Republican victory in the Congressional Baseball Game. On a potential 2028 presidential run, Congress expects Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to run but fall short in the Democratic primaries.
Congress Backs Ukraine Joining the European Union
56.25% of Congress supports Ukraine joining the European Union , compared with 43.75% who oppose it.
The partisan difference is notable. 62.50% of Democrats support Ukraine joining the EU , compared with 50.00% of Republicans . Republican respondents are evenly divided, with 50.00% supporting and 50.00% opposing Ukraine’s admission.
The result gives Ukraine’s EU membership a narrow majority overall, while Republicans are evenly split on the question.
Congress Picks Talarico in the Texas Senate Race
Congress gives James Talarico the edge in the Texas Senate race , with 50.89% selecting Talarico, 38.93% selecting Ken Paxton, and 10.18% unsure .
The partisan divide is substantial. 75.00% of Democrats pick Talarico , compared with 26.79% of Republicans. Among Republicans, 67.86% select Paxton , while 5.36% are unsure.
The overall result puts Talarico ahead, while the party breakdown shows each party favoring its own candidate by a wide margin.
Congress Expects AOC to Run — But Lose in the Primaries
The largest single response to the question of whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will run for president in 2028 is “yes, but will lose in the primaries,” at 50.19% . Another 37.14% say she will not run , while 4.53% expect her to win the Democratic nomination and 8.15% expect her to win the general election.
The parties differ on whether Ocasio-Cortez will enter the race. 65.08% of Republicans expect her to run and lose in the primaries , while 30.16% say she will not run. Democrats are more divided: 44.12% say she will not run, while 35.29% expect her to run and lose in the primaries . Another 14.71% of Democrats expect her to win the general election.
The result gives “run, but lose in the primaries” the largest overall share, while the partisan responses differ over whether Ocasio-Cortez enters the race at all.
Congress Picks Republicans to Win the Congressional Baseball Game
75.15% of Congress predicts Republicans will win the Congressional Baseball Game , compared with 24.85% who pick Democrats.
Republicans are overwhelmingly confident in their team’s chances: 95.12% of Republicans predict a Republican victory . Democrats are more divided, with 55.17% also picking Republicans and 44.83% picking Democrats .
The baseball forecast therefore produces a Republican advantage overall, with the largest partisan difference coming from Republicans’ near-unanimous selection of their own team.